Well it sure has been a very wet month, but things are going to start warming up a little bit here in the next couple of days. We'll have some ridging once the cold front passes later today, that should make tomorrow and the weekend mostly dry. Sunday, we have a little disturbance try to make its way through, but for now should just be a chance of showers Sunday. By the way, I’m not so sure about breaking the all time record for September (precip wise) with 4.30"+. Looks like we may end the month a little drier.
Next week we'll be posting up some cool research articles, we're sure you'll also learn something from it, no, guaranteed you will defiantly learn something from it. Pretty interesting none the less so check back. Enjoy yourselves!
Thursday, September 23, 2010
Sunday, September 19, 2010
Update: 3.06", only need 1.29" to break ALL TIME September Record
UPDATE:
As mentioned yesterday in the blog, we were pretty confident that we would not be in danger of breaking the ALL TIME September Precipitation record set in 1986 of 4.30" at the PDX Airport. As of this morning, PDX has 3.02" of rain recorded, that would mean we only have 1.29" left to go to beat the record. After viewing the models, we notice that the initial past few runs, rounded out, show at least 1.50"-2.00" more before months end. We now belive that the all time record is at risk, and will be monitored. In La Nina years, this type of record breaking patterns should be more common then most other years not La Nina. We should expect more records to fall this coming season, but to what kinds of records is to be seen.
As mentioned yesterday in the blog, we were pretty confident that we would not be in danger of breaking the ALL TIME September Precipitation record set in 1986 of 4.30" at the PDX Airport. As of this morning, PDX has 3.02" of rain recorded, that would mean we only have 1.29" left to go to beat the record. After viewing the models, we notice that the initial past few runs, rounded out, show at least 1.50"-2.00" more before months end. We now belive that the all time record is at risk, and will be monitored. In La Nina years, this type of record breaking patterns should be more common then most other years not La Nina. We should expect more records to fall this coming season, but to what kinds of records is to be seen.
Saturday, September 18, 2010
Wettest Septembers in NW Oregon, Are we beating records?
Thanks to Mr. Pierce and his data, we can go ahead and start looking at our wettest Septembers here in Oregon now that the fuacet has seemed to turn on just a tad. Below are the records for PDX Airport:
(Note: Years in Bold are most recent records within the last 10 years 2000-2010)
YEAR..... SEP
1986 .....4.30
1982 .....3.98
1945 .....3.96
1969 .....3.86
1941 .....3.58
1971 .....3.53
1977 .....3.33
1973 .....3.29
1948 .....3.28
1972 .....3.06
1996 .....3.05
1955 .....2.86
1959 .....2.81
1985 .....2.76
1944 .....2.73
1951 .....2.55
1968 .....2.20
1978 .....2.07
2007 .....2.04
1997 .....1.98
1981 .....1.86
1988 .....1.76
1979 .....1.75
1966 .....1.70
2005 .....1.70
2000 .....1.67
1949 .....1.66
1962 .....1.66
1964 .....1.61
1980 .....1.56
2002 .....1.54
1989 .....1.48
1984 .....1.46
1950 .....1.45
2009 .....1.40
1960 .....1.37
1995 .....1.31
1953 .....1.16
1946 .....1.15
1994 .....1.13
1956 .....1.12
1992 .....1.12
1970 .....1.10
1998 .....1.09
1947 .....1.06
1958 .....1.05
2004 .....1.03
2006 .....0.86
1954 .....0.85
2003 .....0.85
1967 .....0.76
1963 .....0.75
1976 .....0.73
2001 .....0.70
1961 .....0.64
1957 .....0.49
2008 .....0.48
1983 .....0.39
1990 .....0.34
1952 .....0.33
1987 .....0.30
1974 .....0.21
1999 .....0.10
1942 .....0.06
1943 .....0.06
1991 .....0.02
1965 .....0.01
The most recent year with the wettest September in the last 10 years is 2007 with 2.04" of rain. The current tally so far this month for PDX is 2.05" according to the NWS as of 8:43 AM Satursday. Obviously, we are already the wettest September in the last 10 years!
1. 2010.....2.05"
2. 2007.....2.04"
3. 2005.....1.70"
4. 2000.....1.67"
5. 2002.....1.54"
6. 2009.....1.40"
7. 2004.....1.03"
8. 2006.......86"
9. 2003.......85"
10.2001.......70"
Although, this September is proving to be the wettest in the last 10 years, we are pretty confident that most extreme rainfall records will stand. You can obviously start feeling the effects of that moderate to strong developing La Nina now!
(Note: Years in Bold are most recent records within the last 10 years 2000-2010)
YEAR..... SEP
1986 .....4.30
1982 .....3.98
1945 .....3.96
1969 .....3.86
1941 .....3.58
1971 .....3.53
1977 .....3.33
1973 .....3.29
1948 .....3.28
1972 .....3.06
1996 .....3.05
1955 .....2.86
1959 .....2.81
1985 .....2.76
1944 .....2.73
1951 .....2.55
1968 .....2.20
1978 .....2.07
2007 .....2.04
1997 .....1.98
1981 .....1.86
1988 .....1.76
1979 .....1.75
1966 .....1.70
2005 .....1.70
2000 .....1.67
1949 .....1.66
1962 .....1.66
1964 .....1.61
1980 .....1.56
2002 .....1.54
1989 .....1.48
1984 .....1.46
1950 .....1.45
2009 .....1.40
1960 .....1.37
1995 .....1.31
1953 .....1.16
1946 .....1.15
1994 .....1.13
1956 .....1.12
1992 .....1.12
1970 .....1.10
1998 .....1.09
1947 .....1.06
1958 .....1.05
2004 .....1.03
2006 .....0.86
1954 .....0.85
2003 .....0.85
1967 .....0.76
1963 .....0.75
1976 .....0.73
2001 .....0.70
1961 .....0.64
1957 .....0.49
2008 .....0.48
1983 .....0.39
1990 .....0.34
1952 .....0.33
1987 .....0.30
1974 .....0.21
1999 .....0.10
1942 .....0.06
1943 .....0.06
1991 .....0.02
1965 .....0.01
The most recent year with the wettest September in the last 10 years is 2007 with 2.04" of rain. The current tally so far this month for PDX is 2.05" according to the NWS as of 8:43 AM Satursday. Obviously, we are already the wettest September in the last 10 years!
1. 2010.....2.05"
2. 2007.....2.04"
3. 2005.....1.70"
4. 2000.....1.67"
5. 2002.....1.54"
6. 2009.....1.40"
7. 2004.....1.03"
8. 2006.......86"
9. 2003.......85"
10.2001.......70"
Although, this September is proving to be the wettest in the last 10 years, we are pretty confident that most extreme rainfall records will stand. You can obviously start feeling the effects of that moderate to strong developing La Nina now!
Wednesday, September 08, 2010
Mark Nelsen Shows Support for Tower Development
We have two major names here in the local weather market now that back up the idea of installing temp/wind sensors on a few towers in Central Willamette Valley. Of course, we have posted Tyree Wilde's suggestions, here's KPTV's Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsens thought's:
Having more towers outfitted with temp/wind sensors would be quite helpful in wintertime here in the Pacific Northwest. I would consider the current DEQ sensors on the KPTV transmission tower at 1000'/1400'/1800' as one of the top 3 pieces of "critical" information we use during snow/ice storms here in the Portland/Vancouver Metro area. Surface observations and radar would be the other two. Having another one or two in the mid-Valley would be very useful and relatively cheap (compared to a sounder?). A good investment here.
Mark Nelsen
Chief Meteorologist
KPTV/KPDX Television - Portland
More updates to follow!
Having more towers outfitted with temp/wind sensors would be quite helpful in wintertime here in the Pacific Northwest. I would consider the current DEQ sensors on the KPTV transmission tower at 1000'/1400'/1800' as one of the top 3 pieces of "critical" information we use during snow/ice storms here in the Portland/Vancouver Metro area. Surface observations and radar would be the other two. Having another one or two in the mid-Valley would be very useful and relatively cheap (compared to a sounder?). A good investment here.
Mark Nelsen
Chief Meteorologist
KPTV/KPDX Television - Portland
More updates to follow!
Sunday, September 05, 2010
McMinnville Weather.com Submits 2011 Year Budget Estimates for Projects
September 10th, 2010 is the deadline to submit budget estimates and proposals for budget year 2011 through NOAA. Im happy to announce our first budget estimation for a few projects we have in store next year under non profit (non 501c3) status.
2011 MCMW.com Budget Estimate's:
Sounding Tower.....................$35,000.00
(Equipment and Installation)
Research Vehicle.....................$30,000.00
(Vehicle and Equipment)
Observational Research Projects.....................$5,000.00
(Includes Equipment, Travel and Staff)
Website Upgrades/Maintinance.....................$500.00
(Mainly Technical)
Total Budget.....................$70,500.00
We will know by January 31st, 2011 if we were chosen to be funded for that year. This is exciting news none the less, and we are making progress at our goal at making more accurate predictions for the future! More details we be posted on the web site at the end of the month so stay tuned! --Grant L.
Sounding Tower.....................$35,000.00
(Equipment and Installation)
Research Vehicle.....................$30,000.00
(Vehicle and Equipment)
Observational Research Projects.....................$5,000.00
(Includes Equipment, Travel and Staff)
Website Upgrades/Maintinance.....................$500.00
(Mainly Technical)
Total Budget.....................$70,500.00
We will know by January 31st, 2011 if we were chosen to be funded for that year. This is exciting news none the less, and we are making progress at our goal at making more accurate predictions for the future! More details we be posted on the web site at the end of the month so stay tuned! --Grant L.
Wednesday, September 01, 2010
Coldest Summer in 17 Years, Really?
As some of you might have read by now via KGW/ The Columbian..etc Our good ol' Steve Peirce of the Oregon AMS released his article regarding this summers very odd and cool weather patterns. Im not shocked one bit by these claims, though, Steve did bring up some of his mistakes regarding the data he used in regards to historical Vancouver weather station data. Either other way, it's one for the record book, and we may be in for some cooler times come winter. Can Anyone say LA NINA!!
Coldest Portland Summer In 17 Years
Issued: September 1st 2010 - 8:05am
* Note - Permission is granted to quote or reuse the information below, with credit given to author.
"Portland just finished its last full month of summer 2010, and with it comes the distinction of being the coldest "meteorological" summer (June, July & August) in the past 17 years. The last time Portland experienced a summer this chilly was in 1993. This was the exact opposite of last summer, which was the warmest summer on record at the Portland International Airport (1941-2010). This was also the first summer since summer of 1976 (nearly 35 yrs) that all three summer months (June, July and August) recorded back-to-back below normal average monthly temperatures. In fact, Portland has now been below average for five back-to-back months, beginning in April and continuing through August. Either way you slice it, it was a chilly summer by Portland standards. Summer 2010 will also be known as the summer that featured large temperature swings from one extreme to the other, along with morning low clouds that persisted longer than normal."
Here are some additional highlights from the summer of 2010 ---
* 10th coldest June on record at the Portland Airport. * Single wettest June ever recorded (1941-2010). More than four and a quarter inches of rain fell.
* The latest date in history to finally reach 80 degrees for the first time in a given calendar year. That was done on June 11th of this year. The old record was June 9th.
Here are the top 15 coldest summers on record at the Portland Airport (1941-2010) ---
Year Jun Ave Jul Ave Aug Ave Summer Ave
1954 57.9 63.0 63.3 61.4
1964 58.7 64.5 63.7 62.3
1963 59.9 63.0 66.2 63.0
1955 60.7 63.4 65.5 63.2
1953 58.6 66.2 65.6 63.5
1957 62.0 65.5 64.5 64.0
1956 59.0 68.0 65.4 64.1
1976 60.4 67.2 65.5 64.3
1962 61.6 66.4 65.9 64.6
1949 61.7 65.9 66.5 64.7
1993 62.5 64.3 68.5 65.1
1989 64.2 65.5 66.0 65.2
1980 60.7 68.9 66.4 65.3
2010 60.4 67.5 68.1 65.3
1952 60.3 68.0 67.9 65.4
Steve Pierce
Vice President
Oregon Chapter of the American Meteorological Society (AMS)
503-504-2075 (Portland)
e-mail: stevejpierce@comcast.net
web site: http://www.ametsoc.org/chapters/oregon/
Coldest Portland Summer In 17 Years
Issued: September 1st 2010 - 8:05am
* Note - Permission is granted to quote or reuse the information below, with credit given to author.
"Portland just finished its last full month of summer 2010, and with it comes the distinction of being the coldest "meteorological" summer (June, July & August) in the past 17 years. The last time Portland experienced a summer this chilly was in 1993. This was the exact opposite of last summer, which was the warmest summer on record at the Portland International Airport (1941-2010). This was also the first summer since summer of 1976 (nearly 35 yrs) that all three summer months (June, July and August) recorded back-to-back below normal average monthly temperatures. In fact, Portland has now been below average for five back-to-back months, beginning in April and continuing through August. Either way you slice it, it was a chilly summer by Portland standards. Summer 2010 will also be known as the summer that featured large temperature swings from one extreme to the other, along with morning low clouds that persisted longer than normal."
Here are some additional highlights from the summer of 2010 ---
* 10th coldest June on record at the Portland Airport. * Single wettest June ever recorded (1941-2010). More than four and a quarter inches of rain fell.
* The latest date in history to finally reach 80 degrees for the first time in a given calendar year. That was done on June 11th of this year. The old record was June 9th.
Here are the top 15 coldest summers on record at the Portland Airport (1941-2010) ---
Year Jun Ave Jul Ave Aug Ave Summer Ave
1954 57.9 63.0 63.3 61.4
1964 58.7 64.5 63.7 62.3
1963 59.9 63.0 66.2 63.0
1955 60.7 63.4 65.5 63.2
1953 58.6 66.2 65.6 63.5
1957 62.0 65.5 64.5 64.0
1956 59.0 68.0 65.4 64.1
1976 60.4 67.2 65.5 64.3
1962 61.6 66.4 65.9 64.6
1949 61.7 65.9 66.5 64.7
1993 62.5 64.3 68.5 65.1
1989 64.2 65.5 66.0 65.2
1980 60.7 68.9 66.4 65.3
2010 60.4 67.5 68.1 65.3
1952 60.3 68.0 67.9 65.4
Steve Pierce
Vice President
Oregon Chapter of the American Meteorological Society (AMS)
503-504-2075 (Portland)
e-mail: stevejpierce@comcast.net
web site: http://www.ametsoc.org/chapters/oregon/
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