My name is Grant LeBlanc and I am the creator of McMinnville Weather.com. I like to give my opinions on the current weather or anything that catches my eye and so I will post it all here. I will also post any project related updates and budget related updates periodically.
Thursday, December 17, 2009
Upgrades to Weather Forecasting Models!
Well, it looks like there is finally hope for the GFS and Euro forecasting models after all. Here's a quote from NCEP:
"EFFECTIVE DECEMBER 15 2009...BEGINNING WITH THE 1200
COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME /UTC/ RUN...THE NATIONAL CENTERS
FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION /NCEP/ WILL UPGRADE SEVERAL
COMPONENTS OF THE GLOBAL FORECAST SYSTEM /GFS/."
Now with the upgrades, many people are wondering what exactly is going to change? We'll the main answer easily is that the newer forecasting models are at higher resolutions, and thus, being able to pick up on trends and patterns much more accurate than the original GFS output. Obviously, the GFS are doing very horrible this year, seems like most runs are much more confused than ever before. So picking up trends and patterns as of now, is really inaccurate and difficult past 5 days. Even a day out I’ve seen the GFS still flip flopping on occasion this month. We will just have to wait and see when they release more upgrades!
Labels:
Forecasting,
GFS,
NCEP,
Weather
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