Thursday, December 17, 2009

Upgrades to Weather Forecasting Models!

Well, it looks like there is finally hope for the GFS and Euro forecasting models after all. Here's a quote from NCEP: "EFFECTIVE DECEMBER 15 2009...BEGINNING WITH THE 1200 COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME /UTC/ RUN...THE NATIONAL CENTERS FOR ENVIRONMENTAL PREDICTION /NCEP/ WILL UPGRADE SEVERAL COMPONENTS OF THE GLOBAL FORECAST SYSTEM /GFS/." Now with the upgrades, many people are wondering what exactly is going to change? We'll the main answer easily is that the newer forecasting models are at higher resolutions, and thus, being able to pick up on trends and patterns much more accurate than the original GFS output. Obviously, the GFS are doing very horrible this year, seems like most runs are much more confused than ever before. So picking up trends and patterns as of now, is really inaccurate and difficult past 5 days. Even a day out I’ve seen the GFS still flip flopping on occasion this month. We will just have to wait and see when they release more upgrades!

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