Wednesday, November 16, 2005

Second Half of the Winter Predictions Out!

!!To Find the Second Half of the Winter Weather Predictions, click Here and scroll down to where it says Second Half Predictions. Thought I would clear the confusion up. !! I finally posted the 2nd half to my predictions yesterday, sorry about the wait. I found that the last half will be pretty interesting in how it unfolds so keep an eye on it. Also, I am not sure why but a lot of people have been telling me that they think this winter will be ruined because of this blocking ridge pattern that we are in now. Let me tell you this; winter has not even started yet, so why freak out? Sure, its bothersum that the ridge is in place and does cry for concearn but it wont last. By the beginning of December, you can count on a zonal flow to return eventually and bring in more storms. But I am confused at why this ridge is so strong when indices point out that the ridge shouldn't even be there in the first place. So take your opinions and sit tight, we'll see what happens. I bombed my second half of the predictions so expect a low grade on that. Never saw that coming. Take care!
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3 comments:

  1. Anonymous4:30 PM

    How do we find your forecast?

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  2. Anonymous4:35 PM

    Oh, Grant, one more thing. I did some research, KOMO in Seattle says that in December of 1995, Seattle had 13 days straight of dense fog, so that must have been a very similar pattern to what we have now. And we all know how that winter played out.

    Brian

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  3. Anonymous3:54 PM

    I was just reading at KOMO about that streak, the discussion by Scott Sissek says it was 1985, not 1995. I will email him. Also, he says "Now, if you're asking yourself if this seems strange to even be talking about a long dry streak about a week after we were touting a 13-day rainy streak, you're right.

    But this is a good example of what happens in a non-El Nino/non La Nina year (a "neutral" year.) Weather patterns tend to be long-lived and run the gamut in these situations, and this fall and winter appear to be no different. Does that mean we'll see an extended cold streak at some point this winter? Hard to say, but it's certainly not out of the question."

    Brian

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