My name is Grant LeBlanc and I am the creator of McMinnville Weather.com. I like to give my opinions on the current weather or anything that catches my eye and so I will post it all here. I will also post any project related updates and budget related updates periodically.
Wednesday, October 19, 2005
Response from Dr. Taylor
I got a response to Jim Hinkles report (Click Here to Read) from George Taylor and this is what he had to say:
"Looks pretty convincing. I like the way he took lots of different combinations and displayed them separately,
and then did a composite conclusion regarding all the individual maps. I went through many of the same variables
and ended up with a composite of the years and did just the one map.
The Pacific has changed a lot in the last 2 months, and probably if I were issuing my forecast now I'd back off
on the temperatures some. We'll see -- and most of us agree it's going to be an INTERESTING winter!
GT"
I would have to agree with Dr. Taylor, but it is too late now to change any winter forecast. I made one revision in September, but I don't expect to make any others. I was really impressed with how Jim handled his findings, and I would like to reach out and invite him to speak at the annual "What Will Winter Be Like" meeting at OMSI in Portland on November 4rth at 10 am to 12 pm. That would be very interesting. Other than that, the weather takes a turn by next week and we head into a more active and wetter pattern. Take care!
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This will be very interesting, Jim's theory of a regime change versus the obvious warming that we have been experiencing. I hope Jim is right. Grant, I see at the OCS web site that someone named Steve Pierce also gives forcasts. Are you in touch with him? I read his earlier forecast, he seemed a bit more bullish on cooler weather then Dr. Taylor, I would be interested in his response to Jim's findings.
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